Adventures In Deep Space

A blog about turning our "crazy" big idea to transform deep space exploration into a real company (click on header above to view this blog's home page)

Timeframes For Realizing Our Goals and Developing Product

August 21, 2021 — Thomas Leavitt

The end goals of this project are dependent on heavy lift capacity beyond Earth orbit becoming commercially available. My estimate is that this will occur within a 3-5 year time frame, based off the 2023 target date for the "dearMoon" project's circumlunar journey on Starship. This implies the latter is well on the way towards commercialization, since by then it will be human rated and a successful preliminary circumlunar test flight will have been completed. Given Musk's "production line" philosophy, that implies quite a substantial amount of beyond Earth orbit lift capacity being built and potentially available for use by folks other than SpaceX itself (as, of course, is the case with SpaceX's current series of rockets).

This also, of course, allows for the advancement of many other relevant technologies, one example of which is listed below (others may be added later as I continue to read and gather information).

...and finally, this gives our company plenty of time, itself, to develop a launch ready product. This isn't the type of engineering that happens overnight, and while we won't be taking a conventional approach to manufacturing and design, it is still prudent to keep in mind that this stuff is HARD, and that some things just take time to complete.

Tags: spacetech, lift-capacity, beyond-earth-orbit, dearmoon, starship, planning